Friday, July 23, 2010

Market Review and Tips

Wat a jump it was in market today where everyone was expecting a downside it gave upside because of some good news in European market.on the basis of good gain in European and us market our market may open in positive and can go up to 5500 but i believe there ll be profit booking and if its not there then it means a bubble is being created.its my advise to all investors not to take any fresh long positions until trend is not clear and advise to book profit here.Happy and Safe Trading.

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HI I AM BACK AGAIN WITH MY SUPERB TIPS FOR YOU.I HOPE YOU ENJOYED PROFITS FROM MY PREVIOUS TIPS.PLZ MAINTAIN STRICT STOPLOSS.HAVE A SUPERB PROFITABLE DAY TODAY.........GOOD LUCK.
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Sell TCS FUT AUG AT 844 SL 855 TRGT 800.....
Buy ASTRA MICROWAVE ON DIPS AT OR BELOW 65 SL 60 TRGT 75
BUY INDIABULLS POWER AT 29 SL 28 TRGT 32
BUY FCS SOFTWARE AT 3 SL 2.5 TRGT 3.5-4
BUY WIPRO SL 400 TRGT 425
SELL DLF ABOV 330 SL 350 TRGT 300

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Intra and Delivery Tips

HI I AM BACK AGAIN WITH MY SUPERB TIPS FOR YOU.I HOPE YOU ENJOYED PROFITS FROM MY PREVIOUS TIPS.PLZ MAINTAIN STRICT STOPLOSS.HAVE A SUPERB PROFITABLE DAY TODAY.........GOOD LUCK.
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SELL SBIN FUT AUG 2600 SL 2660 TRGT 2450
BUY RELIANCE INDS ON DIPS AT OR BELOW 1000 SL 980 TRGT 1030-40-60.
BUY GRANULES AT 90 SL 85 TRGT 110
BUY FCH AT 280 SL 277 TRGT 295 INTRA
BUY REIAGRO ON DIPS SL 20 TRGT 30
BUY JPASSOCIATE ON DIPS SL 108 TRGT 130
BUY TARAPUR AT 35 SL 33 TRGT 40-45 (STRONGLY RECOMMENED).

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Eight Important Ratios to Evaluate a Stock Fundamentally

LOOKING to buy stocks but you are not sure how to select them? Don't fret. We have, here, eight ratios that would make your life easier, and of course, enable you to make the best possible stock selection.

1. Ploughback or Reserves
Every year, the company divides its net profit (profits in hand after subtracting various expenses including taxes) in two portions: ploughback and dividends.

While dividends are handed out to the shareholders, ploughback is kept by the company for its future use and is included in its reserves. Ploughback is essential because, besides boosting the company’s reserves, it is a source of funds for the company’s expansion plans. Hence, if you are looking for a company with good growth prospects, check its ploughback figures. Reserves are also known as shareholders’ funds, since they belong to the shareholders. If a company’s reserves are twice its equity capital, the company can reward its shareholders with a generous bonus. Also any increase in reserves will push the share price of your share.

2. Book value per share
This ratio shows the worth of each share of a company as per the company's accounting books. It is calculated as:
Shareholders' funds
------------------------------------------------ = Book Value per share
Total quantity of equity shares issued

Shareholders' funds can be computed as such:
Total assets (equity capital to the company's reserves) less total liabilities (money owed to creditors).
Book value is an old record that uses the original purchase prices of the assets.

However, it doesn't show the present market price of the company’s assets. As a result, this ratio has a restricted use when it comes to estimating the market price of the shares, but can give you an estimate of the minimum price of the company’s shares. It will also help you judge if the share price is overpriced or under-priced.

3. Earnings per share (EPS)
One of the most popular investment ratios, it can be computed as:
Profit Post Tax
------------------------------------------------ = EPS
Total quantity of equity shares issued

This ratio computes the company's earnings on a per share basis. Say, you own 100 shares of ABC Co., each having a face value of Rs 10. Assume the earnings per share is Rs 10 and the dividend declared is 30 per cent, or Rs 3 per share. This implies that on every share of ABC Co., you earn Rs 6 each year, but you actually get Rs 3 via dividend. The balance of Rs 4 per share goes into the ploughback (retained earnings). Had you purchased these shares at par, it implies a return of 60 per cent.

This example shows that instead of looking at the dividends received from to company as the base of investment returns, always look at earnings per share, as it is the actual indicator of the returns earned by your shares.

4. Price Earnings Ratio (P/E)
This ratio highlights the connection between the market price of a share and its EPS.
Price of the share
------------------------ = P/E
Earnings per share

It shows the degree to which earnings of a share are protected by its price. Say, the P/E is 40, it means the share price is 40 times its earnings. So if the company's EPS is constant, it will need about 40 years to make up for the purchase price of the share, after taking into account the dividends and the capital appreciation. Hence, low P/E means you will recover your money quickly.

P/E ratio shows what the market thinks about the earnings potential and future business forecast of a company. Companies with high P/E ratios are the darlings of the investors and thus enjoy a higher market rating. In order to use the P/E ratio properly, take into account the future earnings and growth projections of the company. If the current P/E ratio is low, as against the future prospects of a company, then the shares make an attractive investment option. But if the company is saddled with losses and falling sales, stay away from it, despite the low P/E ratio.

5. Dividend and yield
Dividend is the portion of the profit that is distributed amongst shareholders. Companies offering high dividends, normally don’t have much of growth to talk about. This is because the ploughback required to finance future development is insufficient. Similarly, those companies in high growth sector don’t give any dividend. Instead here they give sharp capital appreciation, which ultimately will lead to higher dividends.

So it makes much more sense to invest for capital appreciation instead of dividends. Rather it makes more sense to invest for yield, which is nothing but the association between the dividends and the market price of the shares. Yield (dividend yield) can be calculated as:

Dividend per share
----------------------------- x 100 = Yield
Market price of a share

Yield shows the returns in percentage that you can expect via dividends earned by your investment at the current market price. It is more useful than simply focusing on the dividends.

6. Return of capital employed (ROCE)
ROCE is the ratio that is calculated as:
Operating profit
----------------------------------------
Capital employed (net value + debt)

To get operating profit, add old taxes paid, depreciation, special one-off expenses, and special one-off income and miscellaneous income to get the net profit. The operating profit is a far better indicator of the profits earned by the company instead of the net profit. Hence this ratio is the better indicator of the general performance of the company and the company’s operational efficiency. It is one of the most useful ratio that lets you compare amongst the companies.

7. Return on net worth (RONW)

RONW is calculated as
Net Profit
-----------------
Net Worth

This ratio gives you an idea of the returns generated by investing in the company. While ROCE is an effective measure to get a general overview of the profitability of the company’s business operations, RONW lets you gauge the returns you can earn on your investment. When used along with ROCE, you get an overview of the company’s competence, financial standing and its capacity to generate returns on shareholders’ finances and capital employed.

8. PEG ratio
PEG is an essential and extensively used ratio for calculating the inbuilt worth of a share. It helps you decide whether the share is under-priced, totally priced or overpriced. To derive the ratio, you have to associate the P/E ratio with the expected growth rate of the company. It assumes that higher the growth rate of the company, higher the P/E ratio of the company’s shares. Vice versa also holds true.

P/E
----------------------------------
Expected growth rate of the EPS of the company

In general, a PEG lesser than 0.5 is a lucrative investment opportunity. However if the PEG exceeds 1.5, it is time to sell.

These are some of the most critical ratios that must be considered when purchasing a share. Extensive reading of the financial performance of the company in newspapers and magazines will help you get all the relevant information to arrive at the correct decision.

Monday, July 19, 2010

Nifty set to trade in US from today

The wait is now over for the US investors, who want to bet on the Indian stock markets, with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange starting the trade in Nifty Futures from Monday.The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is introducing two new contracts — E-mini and E-micro S&P CNX Nifty (Nifty 50) Futures — designed to access the Indian market opportunities.

The 50-share Nifty is the benchmark index of the National Stock Exchange, the largest stock exchange in the country. The index accounts for 22 sectors of the economy.Investors would be able to trade for nearly 23 hours on the CME Globex. These hours include the market hours in India (except the last one hour before the Indian market opens).

"The introduction of these two new contracts will make the Nifty 50 available to a much larger community of traders and investors across various exchanges and time zones," NSE managing director and CEO Ravi Narain had said.Under the agreement, inked in March this year, the S&P Nifty has been made available to the CME for the creation and listing of the dollar-denominated futures contracts for trading on CME.

Under the deal, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 — the two leading US indices — would be traded on the NSE platform in India.The CME owns the rights to S&P and DJIA and has given the licence to NSE for trade in futures contracts on indices.

Friday, July 16, 2010

Delivery Tips

Buy SELMCL NEAR 50 SL 50 On closing basis trgt 60.......
Buy ACC NEAR 800 SL 800 On closing basis trgt 820.......
Buy glory on dips sl 14 on closing basis trgt 19-22.....

Friday, July 2, 2010

Which trading stage you are at?

New Traders Journey to Success

In this thread I am going to take you through the different development stages of a new trader. Most of this comes from my own experience. Like any other profession, trading takes years of practice to reach the ultimate level. While doctors and lawyers have gone through higher education to obtain their license to practice, traders are required to obtain knowledge on their own. If you are in it for the quick buck, think again. The challenge is tough but the achievements are rewarding.

Stage One: The Clueless Trader

This is the first stage when you enter trading. You may have picked up a book on technical analysis somewhere, heard of a day trader making millions, or got lucky in an earlier stock investment. After all, how hard can it be? The money sounds appealing and the freedom to be independent sounds attractive.

I don't mean to shatter anybody's dream but those who succeed in trading are the minority! Approximately 90-95% traders lose money. This is the cold hard facts. In the first stage, every trader is optimistic. You open a direct access brokerage account and the sound of Level II, ask/bid, and market makers make trading sound like hi-tech video game. In reality you have no clue. You will buy just to see the market reverse and you will short just as the market starts to rally. Most of your trades are done emotionally. You buy just because the markets feel strong without any logical reason. You are in the unconscious incompetence stage. You have no clue how the mechanics and psychology of trading works. What's worse? You are not aware that you don't know. Most traders will blow their entire account at this stage.

Stage Two: The Rookie Trader

In this stage you have lost enough money to realize what you are doing is completely wrong. In other words, you start to realize that you don't know. You will then devour every trading book available. You will study and purchase Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Edwards and Magee believing price patterns are the Holy Grail. You will memorize every technical pattern known to man. You will read about the ADX, moving averages, Fibonacci lines, pivot points, MACD, Bollinger Bands, channels, etc... You will go through the "help" tab on your data vendor to read about every single technical indicator available. You will plot them on your charts and spend hours looking for an indicator that works. You will be extra confident now because think you have found the magical technical indicator.

Yet, you still continue to lose money everyday. You realize that your indicators are lagging and that every other new trader is probably looking at the same thing. You realize that you are the sucker.

Stage Three: The Developing Trader

You start to realize the amount of work required and the immense learning curve that you must overcome to understand the markets. At this point, traders may find it overwhelming and quit. Stronger minded traders will push their motivation harder to start their second spurt for knowledge. Hunger and passion is needed to clear this stage. You will look for reference online, join mentor programs, chat rooms, and seminars. You realize the necessary elements needed to develop as a trader. You will ask a thousand questions and bug every professional trader you meet. You will read a thousand day trading articles. You will start paper trading, develop strategies and setups, and define risk parameters for every trade. You will go on a hunt for self-understanding to master your psychological game. You will visualize every possibility on a trade before you take it. This is the true learning phase. You are trying hard to develop your edge in trading.

Stage Four: The Determined Trader

This is the stage in which you learn to specialize in certain markets and trading methods. Without realizing it, you have finally found your style of trading after hours of hard work and research. You stick to your method and you improve it. You realize that you need an edge whether its tape reading or being a Fibonacci expert. The important thing is you are slowly transforming yourself into a specialized trader. You test your methods and they seem to work. You gain tremendous market knowledge. You reflect back on yourself and you can't help but laugh at your foolishness. Although you have not made enough money to call yourself successful you are proud of your journey and accomplishments. You realize that the Holy Grail is not about technical indicators or price patterns. You calculate risk before profits and place strict money management on all your trades. You cut losses short and learn to scale out on your winners. You start accept losing as a natural part of the game. You take high probability trades that you have tested and feel confident about your setups because you understand that trading is a game of probabilities. Your psychological makeup has changed from an amateur mindset to a professional one.

Stage Five: The Consistent Trader

You rely on your trading method and start taking trades systematically. You try to aim for consistency and are meeting your daily goals often. You have reached the conscious competence stage. You are fully aware of your strengths and weaknesses as a trader. At times you feel euphoric and at times you feel pain. But you are able to understand your own psychological makeup to control your emotional swings. You are now able to trade for a living.

Stage Six: The Expert Trader

In this final stage, you completely understand the markets you are trading. Being involved in it everyday you are aware of every key price level. You understand market concept and are able to predict the direction of the markets a fairly good amount of time. You pat yourself on your back and take profits as soon as you feel euphoric. You do this because you understand euphoria is the same as emotional trading. You talk to other traders and realize the development stage they are in. People start asking you for trading advice, you publish a book, and you have a specific trading methodology that represents you!

Taking trades come naturally and you are able to get in and out at the precise price levels based on tape. Instead of having the markets take your stop out, you exit when you know you are wrong. You keep your head high but remain humble on the inside. You have now officially graduated the school of the hard knocks.

Entering the trading profession can be a tough journey for many people. Trading is one of the toughest careers that you can choose. If you enjoy the challenge, you will definitely enjoy the feeling of accomplishment. Trading is 30% mechanical and 170% psychological. 200% is required to become a successful trader. Good luck and best of trading.